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Friday, October 25, 2024

TARIFFS

 

TARIFFS



 

About 50 years ago, with the popularity of VCRs, many local stores started up a new industry.  They stocked up VCR tapes of virtually every movie ever made, and rented them. 

Now, as I recall, the tapes of most of these movies would cost maybe $25 to purchase and $3,50 to rent.

It was a great deal, and a great idea. 

Pretty soon, come Friday, families would rent several movies for the weekend. They could even rent a VCR if they did not own one.  For less than $15 you had movies for the weekend…plus popcorn!

The first local VCR rental store in my neighborhood was an investment by several local entrepreneurs.  They borrowed heavily, worked their asses off and within 6 months their risky investment was paying off handsomely.

Until…

Along came Blockbuster.  A larger, fancier super VCR rental store.

I remember my kids excitedly telling me that you could rent a movie at the new store for $1.99!

Within one year Blockbuster was the only store in the country where you could rent a movie.   Within one year and a half, Blockbuster was charging $4.99 for a movie rental. 

What looked like a great deal, and a money saver, ultimately ended up costing consumers more to rent a movie, and a lot of little guy risk takers lost their shirts.

CRANKY!!

What the Hell does all this have to do with Tariffs?

Well, for example, if China starts building cars with cheap labor in Mexico and sells them for considerably less than cars built in the US, it would be great for consumers.  Taxing these imports through tariffs would in effect be a tax on US consumers.

Except, once car producers in this country were put out of business, what might happen to those Chinese owned Mexico produced vehicles?

Much like Blockbuster rentals went from $1.99 to $4.99 in a short time, imported car prices would also take off.

We would be left with even more expensive import vehicles and destruction of an industry which was basically invented in this country.

Tariffs on some imported products are not a tax on consumers, they are a tool to stop another country from destroying our productive industries with the ultimate effect of uncompetitive long term higher prices.

When people tell you that all tariffs are bad and simply a tax on consumers, think Blockbuster.

On the other hand, I graduated 55 years ago with a degree in economics.  I had a C- average so…

10 comments:

  1. What a fascinating comparison! Your insights on the evolution of the VCR rental industry and its impact on local businesses are spot on. It’s a powerful reminder of how quickly market dynamics can shift.

    Your analogy with tariffs really resonates. Just like Blockbuster's rise led to the downfall of local rental stores, unchecked imports can undermine domestic industries, ultimately hurting consumers in the long run. It's important to consider the broader implications of these policies beyond immediate savings.

    As someone involved in the engineering sector, I see parallels in how local engineering firms in Salt Lake City, UT operate. Supporting local businesses is crucial for maintaining healthy competition and innovation in any industry. Thanks for sharing your perspective!

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  2. Some of that goes over my former valedictorian head, but I sure miss renting movies at the grocery store and Blockbuster!

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  3. I remember Blockbuster and renting movies which were supposed to be rewound before returning them but some people didn't and we had to rewind at home before we could watch them. I also remember some movies being so worn out viewing was near impossible. When they switched to DVD rentals prices went up quite a bit, so people like me bought our own copies of favourite movies so we could watch as often as we wanted without having to pay a fee.

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  4. Two PhD economists here would just like to point out that Blockbuster is bankrupt. The market took care of that.

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    1. Hmmm...Alison and Gary?
      Duly noted; and this C- student would add that in general the Movie rental business disappeared due to technology changes, so that is kinda an apple and orange observation.

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    2. I would argue that it's not an apple and orange comparison. When prices are high there are incentives in place for companies to come in and figure out how to do something cheaper. Tariffs are taxes on imported goods and will lead to higher prices for consumers. There may be national security arguments for protecting particular industries (including, perhaps, the car industry), but you must be aware there will be a trade off in the form of higher prices. Across the board tariffs are a particularly bad idea. Do we need to make everything here? Realize also other countries will raise their tariffs on us, hurting our export industries.

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  5. One thing to consider regarding tariffs, when we look at how it could effect made-in-America cars (for instance), is how much of the car, the parts, are made elsewhere? I'll paste a consumer reports article. If say a 100% cost tariff is imposed, as has been suggested in politics, these parts will be a lot more expensive, and I doubt the American manufacturers will eat the cost. Reports suggest the percentage of the vehicle made elsewhere is, on average, 40%.
    https://www.consumerreports.org/cro/news/2011/06/how-much-of-your-car-is-made-in-america/index.htm

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    1. Should Fish More (Mike)October 26, 2024 at 5:57 PM

      Didn't realize I was anon

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  6. You've given me much food for thought.

    I read an article once by a gentleman who was starting his own business, and got the CEO he admired to agree to let him be a shadow for a few days.

    At one point, the CEO was in his limo and got a call from his CFO, fussing at him about not taking the lowest bidder for a particular job. The CEO told him his decision stood.

    Then he told the younger man shadowing him something to this effect: my CFO is a great guy, but he's only a bean counter and doesn't have to see the whole picture. I have 3 companies who give me bids for this kind of work. If one company always underbids the other two, and I always take that bid, the other companies may not get enough work. If one or both of them go out of business, then I'm stuck paying whatever the remaining company charges, and they have no reason to keep prices down. I have to sometimes take a higher bid, thinking back to how many contracts all 3 companies have had recently and giving work to one that's not quite so cheap if necessary. The bean counter counts beans. I think long term, that's the CEO's job.

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    1. Agreed, but Tariffs can also be the warhead that is never dropped, that will still keep bad actors from acting bad.

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